In last week's weather video, our Atmospheric Scientist Eric Snodgrass featured a graphic depicting projections of 2016 corn yields for the growing regions of the United States:
In this visualization, projected 2016 corn yields vary by location from 50-100 bushels per acre (depicted in light green shades) to more than 200 bushels per acre (indicated by the deepest greens). Agrible's product shows southern Minnesota, northern and central Iowa, and central Illinois are projected to have the highest corn yields in the nation this year. Rich soils, moderate temperatures, and timely precipitation events have combined to produce generally favorable conditions for good corn yields in these locations during 2016.
However, this map also indicates that corn production is not outstanding in all regions. Northwest Ohio, northeast Indiana, and isolated portions of Michigan, for example, have seen planting delays and less-than-adequate rainfall. Our forecast suggests crops in these locations will not reach their full potential this season.
Agrible's national and global-scale yield products are a unique and powerful tool for growers to assess their crop in the context of those around them. This product provides a 'big-picture' of the yields in their region and those across the rest of the country.
As the growing season progresses, grain markets react to these yield values and to the regional variability in yield projections. Our national product works in conjunction with other Agrible™ products to provide information growers need to optimize crop revenue by fitting their current crop production into broader national and global market perspectives.
Each dot on this map is produced by Agrible's state-of-the-art Yield Engine. Yield Engine is a complex agronomic model developed by Agrible's expert team of agronomists, crop, and soil scientists and computer engineers. Yield Engine takes seed and soil information for a specific location, high-precision weather station observations, satellite imagery, and the best supercomputer forecasts of future weather events to produce an evolving state of a plant at that exact location. Our supercomputers are running around the clock to gather the weather of the day for each specific location, ingest that data into our Yield Engine, and update the corn plant's health and growth stage as the season progresses to produce this map.
One important component to the Yield Engine is high-quality rainfall data for each field location. The map above shows the last 60 days of precipitation across the continental United States - rainfall has been near or even above average (whites and blues) for much of the corn belt. Regional deficits shown as yellow and red shades in Michigan, northern Indiana, and Ohio contribute to the poorer corn yields in those regions.
This precipitation map also underscores the highly-variable nature of precipitation totals during the summer months in the U.S. In regions with generally good rainfall coverage this summer, such as Iowa and Illinois, where it is clear that there are isolated pockets of rainfall that are below the seasonal average. The sporadic nature of the precipitation events means that conditions on your field may be drastically different than your neighbor's field.
Agrible's Morning Farm Report™ uses high-precision weather and crop monitoring for your specific field locations, so that you can take the guess work out of your crop status and focus on proactive management practices.